The ruling party, at this time, is confined and working intensely to finish processing what happened on Sunday and, with a clear analysis, go out on the field again. All the technical and political teams of Unión por la Patria (UxP) are analyzing the numbers of each district, the percentages, the ballot cuts and the data of those who did not go to vote, to diagram a new scheme and face the path that remains until the October general elections in another way. The central objective of this section of the campaign will be enter the ballotage. «Two out of every 10 Argentines who were eligible to vote voted for Milei. We are not talking about a hegemony. There is a universe of votes to go find«, repeated those who make up the UxP sand table and, by the way, to lift their spirits. The key point to go in search of those who were «orphaned» in this election and overcome the apathy of those who did not want to go to the polls will be to seek the conditions for improve the wage situation that, after the devaluation that the government applied on Monday, they will suffer an even greater blow than they had been suffering.
«There was a need to pay all the costs together. Now he got rid of the devaluation thing and will be able to take measures for his pocket«Some government leaders bet, but without certainties. They recall that Massa spoke in recent weeks «many times» of the fixed sum, and they trust that the relief to take this series of measures will come when the disbursements promised by the government enter the country. International Monetary Fund. One would be for 8 billion –it would arrive on August 23– and another for 2,250 –the first week of November-. With that in mind, different UxP leaders have already gone out to fully polarize with Javier Milei, the libertarian who got 30 percent of the votes in PASO and who, little by little, begins to moderate his speech.
Activate the provinces
One of the keys for October will be for the Peronist governors to reactivate the machinery in their districts and reverse the meager numbers that most of them obtained on Sunday in their districts. The map spoke forcefully: 16 of the 24 provinces were painted purple. Some of them even districts where Peronism has historically won, such as Tucumán and La Pampa. «In the general elections, all the machinery is activated and the situation of the provinces is ordered because the governors are going to have to forcefully go out and fight»they reflect from the government and some weighty leaders risk: «the provinces are set on fire if Milei wins, It is not something gradual that can be negotiated». «The governors have to reflect for the general elections because Milei’s project is to eliminate co-participation, as was the idea of López Murphy, and how are they going to govern the municipalities with a scenario of these characteristics?», summary from UxP. In addition, in a bad provincial election, the governors would lose national legislators, who in most cases answer to them, and therefore, they would also lose influence and bargaining power at the national level. national, governs who governs since December 10.
«The situation in the provinces can be reversed and the example is that in the districts where there was a provincial election on the same day we did well,» they say in the ruling party, referring to Catamarca, for example, where Jalil won 54.95 percent of the votes. votes. Chaco, another territory that is close to the local election, also had a good performance because Jorge Capitanich is working hard to overcome an adverse result that he had in the PASO, after the case of Cecilia Strzyzowski. This effort will have to be replicated in the rest of the districts.
calculator in hand
In UxP, as they reconfigure strategy, they try to sustain optimism. They emphasize that they managed to be «only three points from the one who won», and that, in that sense, they did better than they thought. They believed that they would have a greater distance with the one that comes out first. Of course, they did not imagine that the first place was going to be for Milei. They repeat confidently: «Milei did not pierce the glass ceiling of politics to become a hegemonic force, because she got only 2 votes out of 10 of those who were eligible to vote.» «Between us and Bullrich there are 230,000 votes and between us and Milei about 600,000,» they reflect and point out that «there is very little difference in votes between the three and we can go out looking to grow, which is more complicated for them.» . Calculator in hand, in the ruling party they do the math: «Schiaretti had about 900,000 votes, Moreno about 189,000… and with that you leave Bullrich out», they get excited.
In addition, they highlight that there are some 180,000 votes from the mayors of the suburbs that went for them, but not for the presidential formula because there was a cutoff of the ballot in favor of Milei. They also think they can get them back. «Then,» they add, «are all those who did not vote.» In the presidential PASO of 2019, they remember that 76.40 of the census voted and in the general elections 80. Now 69 did. That is, they have more than 10 points to grow if they manage to get the same number of people to vote which was in the last presidential elections and accompany them. «One point is 200,000 votes, that is, 10 percent would be close to two million more votes,» they point out. The key, they clarify, is, in addition to activating the machinery in the provinces; fully polarize with Milei and explain the real danger that his government would mean «even for his own militants», centrally «accompany everything with a recovery of purchasing power», otherwise, the stage will be black.